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Analyst Gautam Chhugani and team are forecasting $410 billion in yes/no exchange turnover this year, implying that if the $10 trillion estimate proves accurate, it’d represent a more than twentyfold increase from the 2026 tally.
The $10 trillion forecast also implies significant growth in just five years from what previously stood as some of the most optimistic 2030 projections. In April, Bernstein estimated prediction market volume will ascend to $1 trillion by 2030 while Bank of America said prediction markets will eventually grow to $1.1 trillion in yearly turnover. A July report from Macquarie analyst Chad Beynon included a $1.5 trillion annual volume forecast by 2030.
If Bernstein’s $10 trillion prediction market turnover forecast is realized or exceeded, it’d likely prove significant in revenue terms because the research firm previously estimated that $1 trillion in yearly activity could generate as much as $10.8 billion in revenue for operators.
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“Tax collection is part of the economic game and all sectors contribute,” Durigan said. “The same happens with betting.”
He argued the sector should be treated with the same rigour currently applied to cigarettes.
In an interview with Guilherme Amado’s column in Amado Mundo, Durigan said the government of Brazil and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva had fulfilled what was defined in the law that established sports betting.
About Valley Of Pharaohs
The broader takeaway is about production strategy rather than innovation. Spinomenal’s catalog shows a provider that competes largely on breadth and speed, keeping a wide variety of themes live and continually topping them up.
That positioning has clear trade-offs. High-volume, template-driven studios rarely lead the market on standout mechanics. What they do offer is a steady pipeline for operators and a familiar, low-friction experience for players across a large library.
3 Aztec Spells fits neatly into that pattern. It is best read not as a landmark launch but as evidence of a content engine designed to keep Spinomenal’s numbered, theme-clustered families growing.